London, with a different quarterback
The alarm-clock edition: Indianapolis–Washington at 9:30 a.m. ET. Taylor’s scoring role, Downs’ targets and the assumptions that change with Mariota.
Matchup reads, lineup ideas, and the numbers behind the game. Find what matters to you.
56 stories

The alarm-clock edition: Indianapolis–Washington at 9:30 a.m. ET. Taylor’s scoring role, Downs’ targets and the assumptions that change with Mariota.

Eight games, replacement-quarterback decisions, and the difference between a favorable matchup and a favorable price.

Four games. Jefferson’s missing targets, Seattle’s thin backfield and a Denver–San Francisco matchup that rewards looking past the scoreboard.

Detroit–Carolina at 8:20 p.m. ET. A fast opponent, concentrated Lions usage and a Showdown build that tells a coherent story.
Arcline originalEagles–Bears starts with a changed quarterback room. Here’s the matchup read, the $49,300 Smith-Captain lineup, and the Barkley alternative.
Arcline originalBaltimore can run through the marquee matchup. Minnesota–Tampa Bay could struggle to stay on schedule. Las Vegas has a protection advantage worth examining. San Francisco looks like the better team—but that does not make every 49ers bet a good one.
Arcline originalThe early window has three receiving opportunities I like and a Tennessee upset case. The common thread is opportunity: who gets the useful routes, who gets the carries that matter, and which injuries change the plan.
Arcline originalWatson’s 17.8-yard average target depth supplies Green Bay’s volatility. Atlanta’s counterweight is Bijan Robinson’s 19.3-carry workload, especially while Michael Penix Jr. carries a questionable designation.
Arcline originalLos Angeles is the market favorite at SoFi. Everything else — Adams, Showdown Captain, even how Dart has to play — hangs on whether Puka suits up.

The Lions project 77.9 combined DraftKings points with a 140-point ceiling, BAL @ DAL is the week's highest-total environment at 52.5, and Brock Purdy at $6,500 is the model's best value QB. Week 3 runs Thursday through Monday.

Week 2 runs Thursday through Monday across 16 games, 337 players projected with validated floor-to-ceiling bands. The model has opinions. Here's how to use them.
Tampa Bay · Cincinnati
New Orleans · Detroit
Buffalo · HoustonCincinnati’s passing choices. Detroit’s changing backfield. Houston’s opportunity for Nico Collins. Three games, the prop questions they raise, and a DraftKings plan you can explain.
Matchup reads, lineup ideas, and the numbers behind the game. Find what matters to you.
56 stories

The alarm-clock edition: Indianapolis–Washington at 9:30 a.m. ET. Taylor’s scoring role, Downs’ targets and the assumptions that change with Mariota.

Eight games, replacement-quarterback decisions, and the difference between a favorable matchup and a favorable price.

Four games. Jefferson’s missing targets, Seattle’s thin backfield and a Denver–San Francisco matchup that rewards looking past the scoreboard.

Detroit–Carolina at 8:20 p.m. ET. A fast opponent, concentrated Lions usage and a Showdown build that tells a coherent story.
Arcline originalEagles–Bears starts with a changed quarterback room. Here’s the matchup read, the $49,300 Smith-Captain lineup, and the Barkley alternative.
Arcline originalBaltimore can run through the marquee matchup. Minnesota–Tampa Bay could struggle to stay on schedule. Las Vegas has a protection advantage worth examining. San Francisco looks like the better team—but that does not make every 49ers bet a good one.
Arcline originalThe early window has three receiving opportunities I like and a Tennessee upset case. The common thread is opportunity: who gets the useful routes, who gets the carries that matter, and which injuries change the plan.
Arcline originalWatson’s 17.8-yard average target depth supplies Green Bay’s volatility. Atlanta’s counterweight is Bijan Robinson’s 19.3-carry workload, especially while Michael Penix Jr. carries a questionable designation.
Arcline originalLos Angeles is the market favorite at SoFi. Everything else — Adams, Showdown Captain, even how Dart has to play — hangs on whether Puka suits up.

The Lions project 77.9 combined DraftKings points with a 140-point ceiling, BAL @ DAL is the week's highest-total environment at 52.5, and Brock Purdy at $6,500 is the model's best value QB. Week 3 runs Thursday through Monday.

Week 2 runs Thursday through Monday across 16 games, 337 players projected with validated floor-to-ceiling bands. The model has opinions. Here's how to use them.
Tampa Bay · Cincinnati
New Orleans · Detroit
Buffalo · HoustonCincinnati’s passing choices. Detroit’s changing backfield. Houston’s opportunity for Nico Collins. Three games, the prop questions they raise, and a DraftKings plan you can explain.