Good research should stand up to questions.
You should be able to understand what we think, why we think it, and how it turned out.
Explain the call
Show the estimate, the assumptions, and the uncertainty. A likely winner is not automatically a good bet at the available price.
Preserve the original
Official recommendations keep their publication time, observed price, model version, and rationale. Corrections belong alongside the original receipt.
Show the whole record
Wins, losses, pushes, voids, and pending calls belong together. A small sample is a small sample, even when it looks good.
Know which numbers you’re looking at
| What you see | What it means | How it is tracked |
|---|---|---|
| Research & projections | Estimates and observations that help explain a matchup or player. | Model accuracy and calibration where those measurements are available. |
| Official recommendations | A published selection with an identified market and observed price. | Flat 1-unit results, with a preserved receipt and settlement status. |
| Historical wagers | The separate journal of actual wagers and original classifications. | Original recorded stakes and results; never mixed with recommendation returns. |
Availability matters
A stale price is not an executable offer. A tournament projection is not a single-round projection. Missing inputs should be visible, and unsupported formats should remain unavailable.
Explore the sport modelsNo quota to fill
Coverage is an objective, not a reason to force a recommendation. Eligibility depends on the evidence for the particular sport and market. Quiet days stay on the record too.
Inspect every resultThis describes the public recommendation standard. Historical research and wager journals retain their original definitions. Open the historical archive