Arcline simulates every event 10,000 times, prices each market against the book, and publishes only the edges that clear our floor — then grades every call in public, misses included.
Cards before lock, recaps after the grade, GM verdicts with falsifiers attached — the newest six, straight from the loop. Every piece traces to a journaled number.
Every published call, graded in public after the event. The misses stay on the board — that's the point.
Market odds, salaries, player and team data, injuries, weather, course, park, pace, and matchup context.
10,000-run event simulation produces fair price, distribution, range, and a confidence grade.
Only predictions clearing the edge floor reach the board — timestamped before lock.
The result is written back into the public ledger after the event. Hit or miss, unedited.
Open today's board, compare model price to market price, and check the record for yourself.