This side of the vertical runs at game speed — model vs market, player props, the BLITZ optimizer, survivor strategy. It publishes when the season does. What's already true: the model walks forward before it publishes, a pick means a material edge over the market, and the gate stays closed until the numbers earn it.
We tested a baseline power-rating model against five seasons of closing lines. It added nothing— so it doesn't publish. The v1 model adds quarterback and efficiency levers and has to beat that same bar, out of sample, before a single NFL pick appears here. When it does, you'll see the test. If it doesn't, you'll see that too.
Our number against the price on every game — divergences shown honestly, picks only past The Standard's edge floor. The NFL spread market is the sharpest on earth; expect FEW picks, and expect us to say so.
GATED · MODEL IN VALIDATIONProps price player-level questions, and player-level is where a projection engine earns its keep. One projection source feeds props, DFS, and the weekly read.
SHIPS WITH SEPTEMBERThe same optimizer that runs golf, soccer, MLB and UFC — full-pool projections, ceiling and floor, modeled ownership, leverage. QB-stack correlation and game-stack logic built for large slates. No pre-built lineups, ever.
SHIPS WITH SEPTEMBERWeek-by-week survivor strategy: future value, pool size, and when the contrarian pick is the correct one. The allocation table is the artifact; the column explains it.
SHIPS WITH SEPTEMBERThe Coaching Decision Index and the cap boards run year-round — free agency, the draft, camp cuts, the trade deadline. That's where the offseason edge lives.