SPORTS · LIVEGolfSoccerMLBUFCNFLWNBALABNBA · SOONNHL · SOONF1 · SOONNASCAR · SOON
SOCCER TAPE
SOCCER · Argentina Win 74% ·· SOCCER · Colombia Win 42% ·· SOCCER · France Win 48% ·· SOCCER · Argentina Win 74% ·· SOCCER · Colombia Win 42% ·· SOCCER · France Win 48% ··
SOCCER · WORLD CUP 2026 · ROUND OF 16

Soccer.

Every World Cup match priced from the same walk-forward-validated simulation — win, draw, totals, and BTTS probabilities published before kickoff and graded at the whistle.

UPCOMING3 pricedMARKETS9 evaluatedFEATUREDArgentina v EgyptNEXT KICKJul 6
Matchday BoardFeatured Match
MATCH MODEL · Argentina v EgyptJUL 6
Argentina 74%DRAW 18%Egypt 8%
TOTAL GOALS DISTRIBUTION
0
1
2
3
4+
xG TOTAL
3.1
OVER 2.5
61%
STAGE
ROUND OF 16
FROM THE DESK

The latest reads.

ALL READS →
SOCCERPREVIEWJUL 16
France and England, One Game, No Margin for Error
A single match on the card — and it just happens to be one of the great rivalries in world football. The model finds no edge worth playing, but it finds plenty worth watching. Here's the honest read.
READ →
SOCCERTODAYJUL 15
Today at the World Cup — England v Argentina
1 match today. The board, the strongest call, and the line worth a second look.
READ →
SOCCERPREVIEWJUL 14
England vs. Argentina: The Final the World Wanted
One match. One city. Two nations who have been trying to settle something since 1986. The model sees a coin-flip wrapped in history, with no edge worth manufacturing — and that's actually the most honest thing we can tell you.
READ →
MATCHDAY BOARD

The board, by market.

FIXTUREMARKETMODEL / MKTEDGECONFSTATUS
Argentina v EgyptArgentina Win74% / ——HIGHPRE-LOCK
Argentina v EgyptOver 2.561% / ——HIGHPRE-LOCK
Argentina v EgyptBTTS38% / ——LOWPRE-LOCK
Switzerland v ColombiaColombia Win42% / ——LOWPRE-LOCK
Switzerland v ColombiaOver 2.542% / ——LOWPRE-LOCK
Switzerland v ColombiaBTTS47% / ——MEDPRE-LOCK
France v EnglandFrance Win48% / ——MEDPRE-LOCK
France v EnglandOver 2.541% / ——LOWPRE-LOCK
France v EnglandBTTS47% / ——MEDPRE-LOCK
Model prices from the published pre-match run. Market comparison and edges land in the matchday journal — nothing here is retro-fitted.
DFS OPTIMIZER

Captain the gap, not the chalk.

The World Cup optimizer builds DK Classic lineups from the same match simulation that prices this board — projections, ownership leverage, and exposure control across the full slate.
ROSTER
8-MAN
CAP
$50K
SIMS
10K
OPEN THE OPTIMIZER →
WHAT IT OPTIMIZES
GK · 2D · 2M · 2F · UTIL builds
Match-stack correlation
Ownership leverage vs the field
Exposure caps across builds
RECENT GRADED · SOCCER

The record, misses included.

HIT RATE
75%
GRADED
4
PUBLISHEDEVENTMARKETMODEL / MKTEDGERESULTGRADE
2026-07-03Colombia v GhanaColombia 70%70% / 63%+7ppFT 1-0HIT
2026-06-27Croatia v GhanaCroatia 59%59% / 54%+5ppFT 2-1HIT
2026-06-12Canada v Bosnia and HerzegovinaCanada 61%61% / 53%+8ppFT 1-1MISS
2026-06-11Mexico v South AfricaMexico 75%75% / 68%+7ppFT 2-0HIT
SOCCER RESEARCH

The reasoning behind the board.

THE STANDARDALWAYS ON
What counts as a pick — the edge floor, in writing
Methodology
PREDICTOREVERY MATCHDAY
The full World Cup predictor — every match, every group
Live tool
JOURNALGRADED LIVE
The soccer journal — every call graded at the whistle
Record

Every match priced. Before the whistle, every time.

Model probability on every fixture — published pre-kick, graded at the whistle, misses on the board.

Matchday BoardFeatured Match