Golf.

We simulated every golfer in this week's TOUR Championship 10,000 times and checked the results against the odds at 0 sportsbooks. Where our numbers beat the books, we say so — in writing, before the first tee shot.

EVENTTOUR ChampionshipPRICED0+ playersBOOKS0PICKS0 live

View The Board Open Optimizer

WIN BOARD · OUR ODDSFAIR ODDS

10,000 FIELD SIMS · CONVERGED

FROM THE DESK

The latest reads.

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GOLFRECAPAUG 30

Scheffler Wins Again. The Model Called It. The Card Did Not.

Scottie Scheffler closed out East Lake at -16, three clear of the field, and our board had him #1 at +380 fair. The card? Zero for four. That's the full honest accounting — winner, losers, and what Thursday in Asheville needs to look like.

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GOLFRECAPAUG 29

TOUR Championship — Round 3

Viktor Hovland leads at -14 through 3. Where our pre-event reads stand — original lines, live prices, and a clear status on every one. Nothing's graded until Sunday.

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GOLFPICKS FRAMEWORKAUG 29

Thirty Guys, One Trophy, and a Pricing Puzzle Worth Solving

The TOUR Championship brings the season's best to East Lake for a 72-hole finale where the model found real edges buried under heavy chalk. Here's every angle — DFS, betting, and why the card looks the way it does.

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THE PROJECTION BOARD

Every player. Every market. One model run.

#	PLAYER	TOP 20 %	FAIR ODDS	THE BOOKS	EDGE	BEST ODDS
Between events — the board repopulates when the next field is priced.

Between events — the board repopulates when the next field is priced.

pts = how much higher our odds are than the sportsbook's. Fair odds = the price where our numbers say the bet breaks even.

TODAY'S GOLF BOARD

Published edges, pre-lock.

EVENT	MARKET	US / BOOKS	EDGE	SURE?	STATUS

ODDS SCAN STATUS

EventTOUR Championship

Books surveyed0

Markets pricedWin · Top 5 · Top 10 · Top 20

Last scan12:52 AM ET

Event statusPRE-LOCK

Our probabilities against the sportsbooks' average (with their cut removed) across every book we track. Only edges clearing the bar — ≥3 pts outrights, ≥5 pts placements — are published as picks.

CADDIE · DFS OPTIMIZER

Build the lineup, not just the picks.

CADDIE builds cash and GPP lineups for this week's TOUR Championship— a greedy optimizer over the model's projections, with ownership leverage and exposure caps across builds.

PROJECTIONS

10K SIM

ROSTER

6 GOLFERS

CAP

$50K

OPEN CADDIE →

WHAT IT OPTIMIZES

Greedy builds over model projections

Ownership leverage vs the field

Exposure caps across builds

THE CARD · GOLF

The record, misses included.

HIT RATE

GRADED

PUBLISHED	EVENT	MARKET	US / BOOKS	EDGE	RESULT	GRADE
Aug 30	TOUR Championship	MacIntyre, Robert top 20 65%	65% / 6%	+59.3 pts vs the book	Finished 28	MISS
Aug 30	TOUR Championship	Matsuyama, Hideki top 20 74%	74% / 33%	+41.3 pts vs the book	Finished T21	MISS
Aug 30	TOUR Championship	Schauffele, Xander top 10 58%	58% / 18%	+39.6 pts vs the book	Finished T14	MISS
Aug 30	TOUR Championship	Cantlay, Patrick top 10 47%	47% / 13%	+34.2 pts vs the book	Finished T21	MISS