Player or teamMatchupMarket

521 player forecasts · 22 upcoming matchups

How to read these forecasts

College estimates use recorded games with relevant usage. Transfers, injuries and games with no usage can make that history unrepresentative. These are conditional research forecasts.

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KENN · RBConditional forecast

Boogie Woods III

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.5
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 5 games

THE READ

A small sample has a big say

There are only 5 games with a carry or catch behind Boogie Woods III’s number. Those results run from 0 to 2 rushing or receiving touchdowns. That is too little history to treat 0.5 as a settled expectation.

His latest recorded result was 0 rushing or receiving touchdowns against Jacksonville State Gamecocks on Oct 7, 2026. Opponent context moves the weighted history by 0.0 before the final blend.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.6 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: 2.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.6 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 38.5%
RB baseline: 0.4 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.5 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

KENN · RBConditional forecast

Boogie Woods III

rushing yards

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast: 39.7
Earlier line: 48.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–101.5
History with relevant usage: 5 games

THE READ

A small sample has a big say

There are only 5 games with a carry behind Boogie Woods III’s number. Those results run from 6 to 101 rushing yards. That is too little history to treat 39.7 as a settled expectation.

His latest recorded result was 37 rushing yards against Jacksonville State Gamecocks on Oct 7, 2026. Opponent context moves the weighted history by 0.2 before the final blend.

Boogie Woods III’s current starting role and availability are not verified by this history.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 43.7 rushing yards
Opponent adjustment: 2.5%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 43.9 rushing yards
Weight on player estimate: 38.5%
RB baseline: 37.1 rushing yards
Final forecast: 39.7 rushing yards

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

KENN · WRConditional forecast

Brayden Munroe

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.1
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 27 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

Brayden Munroe had no rushing or receiving touchdowns in 21 of 27 games with a carry or catch. That helps explain the 0.1 expected touchdowns. A fractional touchdown is an average, not the probability of scoring a rushing or receiving touchdown.

The model weights recent results more heavily, producing 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns before opponent context and the position blend. Goal-line carries, red-zone targets and this week’s role are not verified inputs here.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: 2.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 77.1%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 31, 2024, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

KENN · WRConditional forecast

Brayden Munroe

receiving yards

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast: 57.4
Earlier line: 58.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–142.9
History with relevant usage: 27 games

THE READ

The big game is in the number

Brayden Munroe posted 156 receiving yards against Jacksonville State Gamecocks on Oct 7, 2026. It counts in the forecast, but 57.4 is lower because one performance does not replace the rest of his 27-game usage history.

The weighted history is 64.1 receiving yards; opponent context takes it to 63.5. The 57.4 forecast keeps 77.1% of that estimate and blends the remainder with the WR baseline.

This sample includes games with catches. Zero-catch games, route counts and targets are not represented; Brayden Munroe’s current opportunity still needs checking.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 64.1 receiving yards
Opponent adjustment: 1.2%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 63.5 receiving yards
Weight on player estimate: 77.1%
WR baseline: 37.0 receiving yards
Final forecast: 57.4 receiving yards

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 31, 2024, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: uncalibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

KENN · WRConditional forecast

Brayden Munroe

receptions

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast: 3.7
Earlier line: 4.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.3–7.3
History with relevant usage: 27 games

THE READ

The big game is in the number

Brayden Munroe posted 6 catches against Jacksonville State Gamecocks on Oct 7, 2026. It counts in the forecast, but 3.7 is lower because one performance does not replace the rest of his 27-game usage history.

The weighted history is 4.1 catches; opponent context takes it to 4.0. The 3.7 forecast keeps 77.1% of that estimate and blends the remainder with the WR baseline.

This sample includes games with catches. Zero-catch games, route counts and targets are not represented; Brayden Munroe’s current opportunity still needs checking.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 4.1 catches
Opponent adjustment: 0.0%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 4.0 catches
Weight on player estimate: 77.1%
WR baseline: 2.8 catches
Final forecast: 3.7 catches

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 31, 2024, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: uncalibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MOST · RBConditional forecast

Breezy Dubar

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.3
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 14 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

Breezy Dubar had no rushing or receiving touchdowns in 10 of 14 games with a carry or catch. That helps explain the 0.3 expected touchdowns. A fractional touchdown is an average, not the probability of scoring a rushing or receiving touchdown.

The model weights recent results more heavily, producing 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns before opponent context and the position blend. Goal-line carries, red-zone targets and this week’s role are not verified inputs here.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.5%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 63.6%
RB baseline: 0.4 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 28, 2024, 10:00 PM ET to Oct 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MOST · RBConditional forecast

Breezy Dubar

rushing yards

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast: 33.9
Earlier line: 36.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–84.5
History with relevant usage: 14 games

THE READ

What his usual game looks like

Breezy Dubar’s middle result was 15.0 rushing yards across 14 games with a carry. The forecast is 33.9 because it gives newer results more weight and applies the matchup and position adjustments.

His latest recorded result was 24 rushing yards against Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Oct 8, 2026. Opponent context moves the weighted history by -0.9 before the final blend.

Breezy Dubar’s current starting role and availability are not verified by this history.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 33.0 rushing yards
Opponent adjustment: -0.6%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 32.1 rushing yards
Weight on player estimate: 63.6%
RB baseline: 37.1 rushing yards
Final forecast: 33.9 rushing yards

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 28, 2024, 10:00 PM ET to Oct 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MOST · RBConditional forecast

Connor Lair

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 15 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

Connor Lair had no rushing or receiving touchdowns in 11 of 15 games with a carry or catch. That helps explain the 0.2 expected touchdowns. A fractional touchdown is an average, not the probability of scoring a rushing or receiving touchdown.

The model weights recent results more heavily, producing 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns before opponent context and the position blend. Goal-line carries, red-zone targets and this week’s role are not verified inputs here.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.5%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 65.2%
RB baseline: 0.4 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Sep 21, 2024, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

KENN · WRConditional forecast

Davis Bryson

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.1
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 22 games

THE READ

A score would be the exception in this sample

Across 22 games with a carry or catch, Davis Bryson recorded rushing or receiving touchdowns in just 3. The 0.1 estimate reflects a low expected count. It does not establish the value of a bet at this line.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: 2.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 73.3%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 31, 2024, 3:30 PM ET to Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MOST · TEConditional forecast

Dillon Hipp

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 7 games

THE READ

A new score against a mostly scoreless history

Dillon Hipp recorded 1 rushing or receiving touchdowns against SMU Mustangs on Sep 26, 2026. That result counts more heavily than older games, but 6 of his 7 games with a carry or catch still ended without a score.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.5%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 46.7%
TE baseline: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 30, 2025, 7:30 PM ET to Sep 26, 2026, 9:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

KENN · WRConditional forecast

Dylan Gary

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.3
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 17 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

Dylan Gary had no rushing or receiving touchdowns in 10 of 17 games with a carry or catch. That helps explain the 0.3 expected touchdowns. A fractional touchdown is an average, not the probability of scoring a rushing or receiving touchdown.

The model weights recent results more heavily, producing 0.4 rushing or receiving touchdowns before opponent context and the position blend. Goal-line carries, red-zone targets and this week’s role are not verified inputs here.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.4 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: 2.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.4 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 68.0%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 31, 2024, 6:00 PM ET to Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

MOST · WRConditional forecast

Isaiah McMorris

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.2
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 3 games

THE READ

A small sample has a big say

There are only 3 games with a carry or catch behind Isaiah McMorris’s number. Those results run from 0 to 0 rushing or receiving touchdowns. That is too little history to treat 0.2 as a settled expectation.

27.3% of the final number comes from his 0.0 adjusted history; the rest comes from the 0.3 WR baseline. That blend raises the estimate by 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns.

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: -5.5%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.0 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 27.3%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.2 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Oct 8, 2025, 7:30 PM ET to Sep 26, 2026, 9:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.

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KENN · WRConditional forecast

Brayden Munroe

Anytime touchdown

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears
Oct 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Arcline forecast · expected TDs: 0.1
Earlier line: 0.5
Estimated 80% range: 0.0–1.0
History with relevant usage: 27 games

THE READ

Most of this history ended without a score

These are past scoring counts in usage games. They are not a tested success rate against this line.

See the calculation & source history

Weighted player history: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Opponent adjustment: 2.3%
Scoring-environment adjustment: -2.0%
After those adjustments: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Weight on player estimate: 77.1%
WR baseline: 0.3 rushing or receiving touchdowns
Final forecast: 0.1 rushing or receiving touchdowns

The scoring-environment input uses combined game points. It does not measure play count or tempo.

Recorded usage history: Aug 31, 2024, 7:00 PM ET to Oct 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. This is past production, not a measured win rate against today’s line.

Probability review: calibrated. The mean alone does not establish the chance of beating a line.

Line last updated Oct 13, 2026, 12:25 AM ET. This quote is older; confirm a new price. No executable sportsbook price or official recommendation is attached.

No verified current injury, depth-chart or scheme adjustment is included in this forecast. Receiving history uses catches, not routes or targets. The estimated range is not a guarantee.